Post by Singe on Nov 19, 2007 14:04:53 GMT -5
The other Ep. X Confessional is cluttered, so I'll keep pasting conversations there and keep this little thread for theories and such.
First off, how to deal with the Bodyguard situation. Facts:
1) Several people strongly suspect I'm the Bodyguard, probably including the Spies, who know for a fact one exists.
2) If I die this turn, Candy will die next turn and the town may very well run into issues once they have no confirmed Cits. (Especially if there are still two Spies left.)
3) It's explicitly stated that there will be an Imprisonment every episode, but there is wiggle room in that statement, so I think my bullshit claim of being able to BLOCK an Imprisonment MAY slide through. Or that's just wishful thinking.
4) If I actually protect people this Impris, the Spies will know for sure I was bullshitting about protects (and self-protect) and will probably target me as the only available Cit Role. It's POSSIBLE that they'll overlook me because a) they dont know im bodyguard or b) i'm in the top 3 exile targets right now but I doubt it. I think I'll be their target Tuesday night at X.
5) If I FAIL to protect anyone, the Spies have their choice of ANYONE besides Candy. If I protect a few people Candy trusts (and she may have good reasons, like roles etc, to trust them) those roles will be safe for another TWO days. But after Gordy, Candy, Addy, Johan and myself all came up with Roles, I don't imagine there's another one out there. I think Candy and I are the only two confirmable Cits.
So I think the play is to pretend that I'm getting protected somehow, whether that's another person protecting me or a self-protect. I know it's a long-shot, but the worst case scenario here is that one of Candy's protect requests dies (Z, Sum) and I survive, which allows me to protect Candy tomorrow. I suppose I could protect Zander and Summer and still survive, but I doubt it.
First off, how to deal with the Bodyguard situation. Facts:
1) Several people strongly suspect I'm the Bodyguard, probably including the Spies, who know for a fact one exists.
2) If I die this turn, Candy will die next turn and the town may very well run into issues once they have no confirmed Cits. (Especially if there are still two Spies left.)
3) It's explicitly stated that there will be an Imprisonment every episode, but there is wiggle room in that statement, so I think my bullshit claim of being able to BLOCK an Imprisonment MAY slide through. Or that's just wishful thinking.
4) If I actually protect people this Impris, the Spies will know for sure I was bullshitting about protects (and self-protect) and will probably target me as the only available Cit Role. It's POSSIBLE that they'll overlook me because a) they dont know im bodyguard or b) i'm in the top 3 exile targets right now but I doubt it. I think I'll be their target Tuesday night at X.
5) If I FAIL to protect anyone, the Spies have their choice of ANYONE besides Candy. If I protect a few people Candy trusts (and she may have good reasons, like roles etc, to trust them) those roles will be safe for another TWO days. But after Gordy, Candy, Addy, Johan and myself all came up with Roles, I don't imagine there's another one out there. I think Candy and I are the only two confirmable Cits.
So I think the play is to pretend that I'm getting protected somehow, whether that's another person protecting me or a self-protect. I know it's a long-shot, but the worst case scenario here is that one of Candy's protect requests dies (Z, Sum) and I survive, which allows me to protect Candy tomorrow. I suppose I could protect Zander and Summer and still survive, but I doubt it.