Post by Kate (Damon) on Dec 1, 2007 16:36:04 GMT -5
Hopefully this will start the ball rolling on a productive discussion regarding this upcoming Exile's options. We really can't take the chance in getting it wrong this time since there'll only be 1 more attempt after this with only 2 Citizens left to try and win the game. We've got to analyze, discuss and go over every inch of detail, suspicion, evidence and defense.
My top 2 Suspicions: Leon & Zander.
At the moment Leon is my top suspect with Zander being a close and suspicious second. Leon has been topping my suspect list for some time and even more after Faizah was voted out. The biggest thing with Leon is that everytime he appears he promises us something but never delivers. Then there's Zander. Part of me believes that this last Spy is either really inocuous (Leon) or super sneaky (Zander). Zander has really gotten no press until more recently. He's been off of most people's radars. Never recieved a vote. And much more.
I have made several notes in my Journal about these 2 gentlemen:
I also did a post analysis for their last 25 posts:
ZANDER
Zander's last posts (most recent first):
1. Scheduling
2. XI Questions
3. Fluff
4. Fluff
5. Fluff
6. Fluff
7. Reply: Hannah Defense; referring to her evidence as circumstantial, lists example.
8. Fluff
9. Fluff
10. Reply: Faizah+Hannah; evidence against Hannah in form of a PM authored by Zander.
11. Reply: Only 28...; mentions Damon+Faizah being left off possible suspect list.
12. Scheduling
13. Fluff
14. Memories VII
15. Memories VIII
16. Memories III
17. Memories V
18. X Questions
19. Reply: Faizah+Leon; argueing against Damon's statement that Singe deserves all the credit.
20. Reply: Avoid hijacking..; advocating for peace on the board instead of petty arguements.
21. Reply: Faizah+Zander; notes that he pre-voted Faizah, that he didn't wait for the 'momentum'.
22. Reply: Penalties for..; explains why his alias was revealed.
23. Reply: Unsure - Pooling..; questions why Faizah never posted and asks how everyone voted in the poll.
24. Fluff
25. Fluff
LEON
Leon's last posts (most recent first):
1. Scheduling
2. Fluff
3. Reply: Adelaide's Dreams; confirms that he could only pick confessionals.
4. XI Questions
5. Fluff
6. Fluff
7. Memories V
8. Memories I
9. Memories IX
10. Fluff
11. Reply: Memories IX; questioning a statement made by Singe.
12. Reply: Faizah+Leon; defence, claims he never talked to the Orthos, Masaki a lot, Naomi/Bev a bit, Emma never.
13. Reply: Faizah+Leon; fluff declaration of not being a spy.
14. Reply: Faizah+Leon; defence reply concerning Singe post about questioning immunity.
15. Reply: Faizah+Leon; defence fluff, declares he never tried to talk to Angelica and he has no control over what she said about him.
16. Reply: Faizah+Leon; clarifies why he gave his points to Gordy.
17. Reply: Leon Defense...; lists each of his Spy suspicions for all the rounds until present (at time of the post), questions why he would work against a fellow Spy.
19. Reply: Leon Defense..; fluff declaration that he plans to prove he's not a Spy.
20. Reply: And It All...; fluff comment on why he hadn't posted, clarifies suspicious vs. campaigning.
21. Fluff
22. Reply: And It All..; analysis of the remaining Spy candidates.
23. X Questions
24. Scheduling
25. Fluff
Other information:
- As best we can determine Zander was on Adelaide's dream list and has been raised to suspicion by that amongst other things.
I know that other people have points to make against these 2 and likely myself as well. Let's air everything and try to figure things out!
My top 2 Suspicions: Leon & Zander.
At the moment Leon is my top suspect with Zander being a close and suspicious second. Leon has been topping my suspect list for some time and even more after Faizah was voted out. The biggest thing with Leon is that everytime he appears he promises us something but never delivers. Then there's Zander. Part of me believes that this last Spy is either really inocuous (Leon) or super sneaky (Zander). Zander has really gotten no press until more recently. He's been off of most people's radars. Never recieved a vote. And much more.
I have made several notes in my Journal about these 2 gentlemen:
Notes
A general note about defenses: I don't care what kind of crap you pull from your logs. You can alter those things with ease, any uneducated person has that ability. I haven't paid much attention to shared convesrations at all this game unless accompanied by some analysis and commentary. TL;DR.
Leon:
(+) Throws Faizah under the Bus to protect himself. Could be a Spyish move or could just be a true Cit. I'm more inclined to think that these 2 went after reach other for a reason - to try and prove themselves to be the last Spy standing.
(+) Faizah could have voted Leon in IX-1 but chose to vote Singe instead, all by herself. (Singe, "Faizah+Leon")
(+) Leon gave his investigation points to Gordy, as did Faizah and Angelica, in their attempt to manipulate Gordy. (Singe, "Faizah+Leon", Reply #4)
(+) Faizah's oops moment of replying straight to the Faizah+Leon thread instead of any others. This is a bit more circumstantial but it matters.
(+) Leon's reaction to Singe's 'fake' investigation
(+) Leon's continued and repeated promises to 'start doin some work' but never coming up with more than a simple defense.
Zander:
(+) Overlooked Final Words of Ralph, where he points out Zander as a potential Spy
(+) Zander's close proximity to Candy has sat him in a good position to play the trusted role.
(+) There's not enough information to gather against him. When you think about his posts as a collective nothing stands out except for the Masaki catch (who was a Traditionalist).
(+) "Furthermore why had Zander suddenly let up on Masaki now that Cain is gone and another Exile is on the way? He was so sure in VIII but isn't addressing it in IX?" (Observation Thread, Nov 14)
A general note about defenses: I don't care what kind of crap you pull from your logs. You can alter those things with ease, any uneducated person has that ability. I haven't paid much attention to shared convesrations at all this game unless accompanied by some analysis and commentary. TL;DR.
Leon:
(+) Throws Faizah under the Bus to protect himself. Could be a Spyish move or could just be a true Cit. I'm more inclined to think that these 2 went after reach other for a reason - to try and prove themselves to be the last Spy standing.
(+) Faizah could have voted Leon in IX-1 but chose to vote Singe instead, all by herself. (Singe, "Faizah+Leon")
(+) Leon gave his investigation points to Gordy, as did Faizah and Angelica, in their attempt to manipulate Gordy. (Singe, "Faizah+Leon", Reply #4)
(+) Faizah's oops moment of replying straight to the Faizah+Leon thread instead of any others. This is a bit more circumstantial but it matters.
(+) Leon's reaction to Singe's 'fake' investigation
(+) Leon's continued and repeated promises to 'start doin some work' but never coming up with more than a simple defense.
Zander:
(+) Overlooked Final Words of Ralph, where he points out Zander as a potential Spy
(+) Zander's close proximity to Candy has sat him in a good position to play the trusted role.
(+) There's not enough information to gather against him. When you think about his posts as a collective nothing stands out except for the Masaki catch (who was a Traditionalist).
(+) "Furthermore why had Zander suddenly let up on Masaki now that Cain is gone and another Exile is on the way? He was so sure in VIII but isn't addressing it in IX?" (Observation Thread, Nov 14)
I also did a post analysis for their last 25 posts:
ZANDER
Zander's last posts (most recent first):
1. Scheduling
2. XI Questions
3. Fluff
4. Fluff
5. Fluff
6. Fluff
7. Reply: Hannah Defense; referring to her evidence as circumstantial, lists example.
8. Fluff
9. Fluff
10. Reply: Faizah+Hannah; evidence against Hannah in form of a PM authored by Zander.
11. Reply: Only 28...; mentions Damon+Faizah being left off possible suspect list.
12. Scheduling
13. Fluff
14. Memories VII
15. Memories VIII
16. Memories III
17. Memories V
18. X Questions
19. Reply: Faizah+Leon; argueing against Damon's statement that Singe deserves all the credit.
20. Reply: Avoid hijacking..; advocating for peace on the board instead of petty arguements.
21. Reply: Faizah+Zander; notes that he pre-voted Faizah, that he didn't wait for the 'momentum'.
22. Reply: Penalties for..; explains why his alias was revealed.
23. Reply: Unsure - Pooling..; questions why Faizah never posted and asks how everyone voted in the poll.
24. Fluff
25. Fluff
LEON
Leon's last posts (most recent first):
1. Scheduling
2. Fluff
3. Reply: Adelaide's Dreams; confirms that he could only pick confessionals.
4. XI Questions
5. Fluff
6. Fluff
7. Memories V
8. Memories I
9. Memories IX
10. Fluff
11. Reply: Memories IX; questioning a statement made by Singe.
12. Reply: Faizah+Leon; defence, claims he never talked to the Orthos, Masaki a lot, Naomi/Bev a bit, Emma never.
13. Reply: Faizah+Leon; fluff declaration of not being a spy.
14. Reply: Faizah+Leon; defence reply concerning Singe post about questioning immunity.
15. Reply: Faizah+Leon; defence fluff, declares he never tried to talk to Angelica and he has no control over what she said about him.
16. Reply: Faizah+Leon; clarifies why he gave his points to Gordy.
17. Reply: Leon Defense...; lists each of his Spy suspicions for all the rounds until present (at time of the post), questions why he would work against a fellow Spy.
19. Reply: Leon Defense..; fluff declaration that he plans to prove he's not a Spy.
20. Reply: And It All...; fluff comment on why he hadn't posted, clarifies suspicious vs. campaigning.
21. Fluff
22. Reply: And It All..; analysis of the remaining Spy candidates.
23. X Questions
24. Scheduling
25. Fluff
Other information:
- As best we can determine Zander was on Adelaide's dream list and has been raised to suspicion by that amongst other things.
I know that other people have points to make against these 2 and likely myself as well. Let's air everything and try to figure things out!