i don't want to say too much but...

[Judge Sam]

this endgame is going to be more interesting that I thought.

[Judge Sam]

faizah maybe you should pm angelica or something and she can tell you what it's been like posting with the trads and stuff

[Masaki]

Singe said:

Actually, four people have already guessed what the protection power does, so I might as well share it with the rest of you. It's pretty sweet.

If the Spy chooses my protection target, I get to choose who to Imprison instead.

And as much as I'm sorely tempted to Imprison Candy, I think I'll be happier to nail a Spy tonight if my protect succeeds.

Tell me it ain't so!

[Angelica]

If I have put all the pieces of this puzzle together correctly, the Citizens can't lose. I'm failing to see the interesting part. Oh well, nothing I can do but sit back and watch.

[Masaki]

What the fuck, Singe didn't protect himself after all. What was with that, Mr. Singe! You should've known better!

Looks like your Spy inside has a shot at this after all, unless they clip people from that list.

[Masaki]

By the way, I'm now rooting for the Orthodoxy to win. I wanted Singe to win(i love that guy), but now that he's out, I 'm defaulting back to Spy win.

Angelica : You are correct. Your Spy should not win this game. However, it depends on how smart Singe/Candy were in their planning. If Candy is not bullshitting about her Fatemaker thing, then this is the rundown :

~~Adelaide's List as we Know It~~

1) Abrams
2) Zander
3) Hannah
4) Damon
5) Missing Person

#5 could still be in the game, and could not be in the game. There are 3 definite suspects, and that adds a potential 4th.

Candy gives the Confessional check to Player A.

Player A gets the missing name from the list.

Player A becomes a valid exile target to confirm the data.

That is our fifth suspect, because they could be lying.

Maximum of Five suspects... But they could get that down to 3 if they were slick. What the hell? How 3 suspects if there are 3 on the list, with 2 more in the making? You'll see. :-)

~~Scenario One : The player who's name it was is still in the game~~

There are five valid exile choices

1) Player A
2) The Missing Player From the List
3) Hannah
4) Damon
5) Zander

Chance of winning : 2/5 = 40%

~~Scenario Two : The Player is NOT still in the game~~

Same as Scenario One minus the extra name.

Chance of winning : 1/4 = 25%

~~Scenario Three : Damon is the retriever(the person Candy selects to fetch the missing name)~~

This is a special case, because Damon is already on the list.

- Sub-scenario One : Name he gets is no longer in the game

Suspects :

1) Zander
2) Hannah
3) Damon

Chance of winning : 0/3 = 0%

- Sub-scenario Two : Name he gets is still in the game

Suspects :

1) Zander
2) Hannah
3) Damon
4) The Missing Player From the List

This is the scenario I am talking about. If Candy/Singe were on their tippy toes with planning, they should have this game in the bag. This has the BEST potential for a win. GUARANTEED 75% chance of winning, because the retriever, DAMON, is already on the suspect list. That completely scratches off the 40% scenario from being possible.

Let us hope Singe/Candy did NOT plan this.

God damn I wish there was a confirmed dead Cit able to give me this kind of info on every single role in the game, dead or alive, in Spies 3. Would have made my fucking job a lot easier. Yes I'm bitching! :-)

My sympathies for ZanderHannah.

Sidenote : Singe's role might still have triggered something that's working behind the scenes. Candy will be imprisoned next episode unless your Spy is a dummy, meaning her fatemaking won't be relevant from here on out. That means Singe's potential role-triggering is the only thing, besides twists that Sam introduces, that I can see skewing the rundown.

Whatcha guys think?

[Beverly]

Mistaki, HANNAH is the last spy. DROP IT. There is absolutely positively NO WAY Zander would tell Angelica that she was running their Orthodoxy show and admit he wasn't really aware of what was going on. Impossible.

ETA: Mistaki, look at how many times you've said something, and I've disagreed, and I was right.

[Masaki]

ZANDERHANNAH!

[Beverly]

JUST HANNAH WTF LSITEN TO ME U PIECE OF CRAPPY SHTI

[Masaki]

STFU Candy Clone.

[Angelica]

You bitches are crazy.

And the mystery person was Bunni. Ady posted her dream results in the Taunting thread.

[Judge Sam]

singe couldn't have saved himself though.

[Masaki]

Then your Spy has already lost.

Sam - whatcha mean!?

[Angelica]

Masaki, that's why I said what I said what I said to begin with. Unless a couple of the Citizens suffer a severe brain aneurysm in the next few days, the game is pretty much over.

[Judge Sam]

I'm trying not to inject too much facts here because I do like reading speculation and what will you speculate on if you know all the facts? But I did add, that even if Singe wanted to prevent himself from being Imprisoned in Imprisonment XI, there was no way he could have (besides doing various tricks to get the Spy not to select him just like every other Citizen could)

[Masaki]

angelica said:

Masaki, that's why I said what I said what I said to begin with. Unless a couple of the Citizens suffer a severe brain aneurysm in the next few days, the game is pretty much over.

Well let's just hope Damon wasn't chosen. I didn't know Bunni was the last name. In that case, your Spy is pretty fucked.

[Masaki]

Looks like Damon wasn't the retriever.

FOOLS.

They just tossed out their guaranteed avenue to winning.

Now it's 3/4 at best.

[Masaki]

Well... heh...

Not 3/4.

2/3

[Angelica]

If Damon or Zander can flip the script and get Leon Exiled, they just might have a shot at this. But getting everyone to turn against Leon will be a tall order. I'm starting to get excited again, this game could theoretically come down to the final ballot.

[Masaki]

Woops... I meant 2/3 for Cits. 1/3 for Zander. Of course with Candy being so blind to the obvious, I'm lacking Citizen confidence.

I'm fairly confident he'll make it to the final 3. At that point it's a toss up.

[Masaki]

damon said:

Whatever happened to your Fatemaking decision, Candy?

candy said:

Bust. Either I chose a bad episode to look at or I've been lied to or she never talked about it in her confessional.

Looks like it's more than 1/3.

[Angelica]

It could be one big shadow game. Although I'm not sure why Candy would lie about these things at this point. It would just make things harder for the Cits. Who knows, maybe we got lucky and they really did get no information. God willing...

[Masaki]

If she's lying, she would be a fool to keep it hidden up beyond imprisonment, because that information is lost because she is the last confirmed Citizen. Anyone beyond that point(Leon) could lie about what really happened.

But then again, she chose Leon over Damon, which was a foolish decision in itself. So I wouldn't be surprised if you were right.

[Faizah]

No way she is lying since she KNOWS she is being imprisoned, she would have called out the final spy...and game over.

I am 99.9% sure Leon found NOTHING in Adelaides confessional.

This added to the fact that it makes Leon look more suspicious = LOVE.

[Masaki]

Well to be fair, she wouldn't be able to call out the final spy just by getting that name.

[Faizah]

Yea, but she would have it narrowed wayyy down, if not to a bottom 2 of the so called spies.

[Masaki]

3

Leon, Damon, Zander

[Zander]

beverly said:

Mistaki, HANNAH is the last spy. DROP IT. There is absolutely positively NO WAY Zander would tell Angelica that she was running their Orthodoxy show and admit he wasn't really aware of what was going on. Impossible.

ETA: Mistaki, look at how many times you've said something, and I've disagreed, and I was right.

I think this is my favorite post of the entire game. Trads

[Masaki]

I wouldn't back down on that one. :-)